Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.089670 1.240110 1.404018 1.595906 1.814469 2.055758 2.342486
2025-12-07 0.832372 1.030476 1.265172 1.563946 1.934590 2.379855 2.956315
2025-12-14 0.679182 0.891268 1.157537 1.516822 1.989822 2.592533 3.421017
2025-12-21 0.583244 0.802665 1.091515 1.500295 2.065324 2.820983 3.912207
2025-12-28 0.531767 0.762723 1.079554 1.546947 2.221042 3.161459 4.579359
2026-01-04 0.469741 0.698962 1.025141 1.524437 2.272326 3.355731 5.053381
2026-01-11 0.435069 0.669551 1.014620 1.561079 2.408615 3.679684 5.743425
2026-01-18 0.397965 0.631756 0.986629 1.566504 2.495260 3.933496 6.346722
2026-01-25 0.360202 0.588554 0.945306 1.545520 2.536112 4.116664 6.851420
2026-02-01 0.324400 0.544605 0.898057 1.509254 2.546807 4.249519 7.282143
2026-02-08 0.293348 0.505254 0.854202 1.473495 2.553265 4.373187 7.704899
2026-02-15 0.274965 0.485407 0.840579 1.486893 2.643175 4.642860 8.402106
2026-02-22 0.251210 0.456398 0.812795 1.480573 2.711758 4.906043 9.161299
2026-03-01 0.225795 0.422252 0.773482 1.451239 2.739307 5.105730 9.841080
2026-03-08 0.201733 0.387718 0.729453 1.407554 2.733917 5.241979 10.412769
2026-03-15 0.184363 0.363788 0.702270 1.392234 2.779798 5.477626 11.202357
2026-03-22 0.175962 0.356247 0.705207 1.435477 2.944511 5.959491 12.540464
2026-03-29 0.161192 0.334363 0.677801 1.414612 2.976808 6.179558 13.360193
2026-04-05 0.153639 0.326379 0.677232 1.448575 3.125843 6.652897 14.772038
2026-04-12 0.143924 0.312801 0.663746 1.453603 3.213323 7.005112 15.958024
2026-04-19 0.132913 0.295276 0.640181 1.434154 3.244841 7.239151 16.903786
2026-04-26 0.121774 0.276313 0.611632 1.400538 3.240731 7.393339 17.681677
2026-05-03 0.111744 0.258816 0.584575 1.367392 3.233905 7.540002 18.457502